at least my learning from the recent set of hyperscaler ceo interviews is that these guys are thinking about this race like it is a rules based strategy game: they sound like StarCraft players.
past infrastructure cycles did not feel so “gamed out”, there’s something new here
.@satyanadella gave me and @dylan522p an exclusive tour of Fairwater 2, the most powerful AI datacenter in the world.
We then chatted through Satya's vision for Microsoft in a world with AGI.
0:00:00 - Fairwater 2
0:04:15 - Business models for AGI
0:13:42 - Copilot
0:20:56 - Whose margins will expand most?
0:37:12 - MAI
0:48:42 - The hyperscale business
1:03:39 - In-house chip & OpenAI partnership
1:10:30 - The CAPEX explosion
1:16:01 - Will the world trust US companies to lead AI?
Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube, Apple Podcasts or Spotify to tune in.
I’m still holding long the basket, but you do have to wonder if a big part of this build out is not based on its own merits, but on a loosely validated set of infra scaling laws that just so happen to yield a really fun rule system that allows you to play at trillion+ scale
there’s going to be a really interesting Santa Fe institute talk 80 years past this bubble bursting, if the US economy still exists, about this.
but you do wonder if being a hyperscaler ceo was kinda boring, and now someone invented billion dollar baccarat with shareholder $s
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