無名先生

The largest crypto bill in U.S. history has just advanced to the Senate. The U.S. stock market just hit an all-time high. And $BTC still can't break through $83,000. Can someone explain why this is happening?

$BTC It's unbelievable that this prediction (support rate) didn't reach 100%. I have absolute confidence that before we see BTC establish an upward trend above $100,000, we will first see it drop below $74,000. Range. Bound. Volatile. Cut. Loss.

The South Korean stock market suffered a severe crash. The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) just hit a historic high of 8,000 points today, then plunged 8.4% within the same trading day, wiping out 509 trillion won (approximately 370 billion USD) in market value in just 6 hours. Samsung, which accounts for 42% of the entire index's weight, saw its stock price plummet 8.61%.

The time has finally come to say goodbye, Jerome (Powell): 8 years. An era. A chairman. Jerome Powell has endured: the COVID-19 pandemic, the highest inflation in 40 years, pressure from Trump, pressure from Biden, and countless market crashes. He never compromised, never wavered. Until his last day, he steadfastly defended the Federal Reserve's independence. Tomorrow, Kevin Warsh will officially take over. Interest rate cuts are coming. Liquidity is about to expand. He is the first "pro-Bitcoin" Federal Reserve chairman in history. Unprecedented. Goodbye, Jerome. You stuck to your way. Now, let's wait and see what the next script holds.

In 2025, everyone was shouting that the altcoin season was coming. And the result? It never came. Every person who blindly believed was mercilessly harvested, completely liquidated, and lost all patience. Now look at today's market sentiment. Everyone is saying the altcoin season is dead. "Altcoins can no longer rally." "Only Bitcoin can rise." "Memecoins have killed altcoins." And this is exactly where things start to get interesting. Because when altcoins start to move now, no one will believe it. They will say it’s just an oversold rebound, they will say it’s just a fake pump to lure buyers. While they are still desperately making excuses to numb themselves, altcoins will surge wildly without looking back. At first slowly, then violently, and the final crazy speed will surpass 2021. I’m here to predict in advance: 2026 will usher in the grandest super altcoin season in human history. Not louder, not cleaner, but with an extremely terrifying scale. Save this tweet. Check back in 6 months, no need to wait a year, just 6 months. This market always rewards those who position themselves "before consensus is formed." Ignore it if you want. But before the capital rotation frantically pours into altcoins, don’t say no one warned you. The AI era is coming to crush everything comprehensively. This might be the last truly meaningful altcoin frenzy before the game rules are completely changed. Save this tweet. My only request is that you stay highly attentive. If you haven’t followed me yet, you will definitely regret it later.

The S&P 500 index is pricing in a perfect utopian world. The market has just rebounded sharply by 49% from the October low. Kalshi (a prediction market) gives a 60% probability of reaching 8,000 points by the end of this year. The consumer confidence index has returned to an extremely euphoric level again. But ask yourself one question: what exactly is driving this frenzy? It is a firm belief—that AI will completely disrupt corporate profitability in the next 12 to 24 months. Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon collectively spend over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure capital expenditures. Analysts are forecasting astronomical returns. And the pricing of major stocks has long factored in these future returns to the fullest. But right here, we encounter a big problem. Jensen Huang recently stated that agentic AI, to truly operate, requires computing power 1,000 times the current level. However, such massive computing power has yet to be built, and data center and energy infrastructure are far from complete. This surge has directly overdrawn the scenery beyond the finish line in advance. Meanwhile, the candlestick chart is outlining a textbook "Distribution Structure" at the top. Prices are hitting new highs, but momentum indicators are oscillating downward (bearish divergence), and the amplitude of each fluctuation is continuously expanding. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the sixth wave ended at 7,600 points. Based on equal amplitude measurement, the downside target points directly to 6,100. "How much longer can the market sustain this extreme euphoria?"

The S&P 500 index is pricing in a perfect utopian world. The market has just rebounded sharply by 49% from the October low. Kalshi (a prediction market) gives a 60% probability of reaching 8,000 points by the end of this year. The consumer confidence index has once again returned to an extremely euphoric level. But ask yourself one question: what exactly is driving this frenzy? It is a firm belief—that AI will completely disrupt corporate profitability in the next 12 to 24 months. Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon collectively spend over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure capital expenditures. Analysts are forecasting astronomical returns. And the pricing of major stocks has long since priced in these future returns to the fullest. But right here, we encounter a big problem. Jensen Huang recently stated that Agentic AI, to truly operate, requires computing power 1,000 times the current level. However, such massive computing power has yet to be built, and data centers and energy infrastructure are far from complete. This surge has directly overdrawn the scenery beyond the finish line in advance. Meanwhile, the candlestick chart is outlining a textbook "Distribution Structure" at the top. Prices are hitting new highs, but momentum indicators are oscillating downward (bearish divergence), and the amplitude of each fluctuation is continuously expanding. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the sixth wave ended at 7,600 points. Measured by equal amplitude, the downside target points directly to 6,100 points. "How much longer can the market sustain this extreme euphoria?"

Don't be fooled by the market! The price of $BTC is definitely not sideways and dead silent for no reason! During the bear market, the 200-day moving average (200 MA) has always been a major resistance level. That's right, historically there have been moments when the price briefly broke above this line to lure retail traders in—but ultimately it turned down and made new lows. So don't be deceived! Now take a close look at the Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.5 and 0.618 have always been key resistance zones. But the strongest resistance levels are actually 0.786 and 0.86 (if you want, I'll make a full video later explaining why). As I said before, I still expect Bitcoin's price to go lower. Everything is going according to my plan. Don't worry. Turn on notifications, follow me, and bookmark this tweet!

🚨Breaking News: $14 trillion has just chosen Ethereum as their destination. BlackRock is launching a tokenized money market fund. Right on Ethereum. This is not a pilot. Not a test. Not a sandbox exercise. This is BlackRock. The world's largest asset management company. Bringing $14 trillion of client assets on-chain. UBS: Running the repo market on Ethereum. Franklin Templeton: Running ETFs on Ethereum. Europe: Running the digital euro on Ethereum. Now it's BlackRock's turn: Running a money market fund on Ethereum. Institutions choose Ethereum not because it's fast. They choose it because it's trustworthy. The $14 trillion volume just confirmed this. And the current $ETH price is still 60% below its all-time high.

Breaking: Kevin Warsh will officially become the Fed Chairman tomorrow. But currently, the market estimates the probability of a rate hike by the end of this year has reached 50.8%. If this becomes a reality, billions in liquidity will be completely wiped out from the market. This is extremely bad for the market……