大魔的财富之路

Evening volatility has arrived The community is ready Let's go go go #波动雷达：币种异动观察 $BTC $ETH

The essence of trading is never about predicting rises and falls, but about mastering all uncertainties in the market. The vast majority of traders enter the market and immediately talk about tomorrow's ups and downs and target prices, starting off on the wrong path. The market changes rapidly and no one can accurately predict the market direction every time. Trading based on guessing trends inevitably leads to a cycle of profits and losses. Those who achieve long-term stable profits in the market never rely on subjective predictions but focus on honing their ability to respond in real time. We cannot control market ups and downs; the market is full of unknowns and variables, a fact no one can change. But we can firmly grasp the initiative in trading: set loss limits, define profit targets, control position sizes, and strictly adhere to stop-loss points. When profiting with the trend, stay calm and hold steadily to capture the full profit; when losing against the trend, exit decisively and timely to avoid deep entrapment. How the market moves is the market's business; how to operate is our own. Let go of the obsession with predictions, manage risks carefully, stick to trading rules, and only then can you navigate steadily and go far in the ever-changing market. #波动雷达：币种异动观察 $BTC $ETH

During the daytime session, pay close attention to the strength of the oversold rebound momentum. The overall strategy is to follow the trend and prioritize short positions. BTC: Enter short positions around the 78000 range, add more shorts at 78500, with a downside target of 76500. ETH: Enter short positions at around 2140, add more shorts at 2165, targeting 2080. #OKXPizzaDay $BTC $ETH

The market changes in the blink of an eye Protect yourself The community has already positioned itself Charge forward #波动雷达：币种异动观察 $BTC $ETH

5.18 Monday • 20:30 US May NY Fed Manufacturing Index • Night session: US Treasury 4.62%, Crude Oil 108, Gold 4580 5.19 Tuesday (Key Day) • 20:00 White House Iran Meeting (Major Event) • 22:00 US April Existing Home Sales 5.20 Wednesday • 20:30 US April CPI (Core Inflation) • After market: Nvidia Earnings Report 5.21 Thursday • 02:00 FOMC Meeting Minutes • 20:30 US May PMI Preliminary 5.22–24 Friday–Sunday • Middle East situation continues to escalate • Weekend: G7 Finance Ministers Meeting (Possible discussion on oil prices/inflation) #超级事件周 $BTC $ETH $LAB

1. Macro Overview (2026-05-18) • Geopolitics: The US and Israel plan to resume strikes on Iran (as early as next week), Iran threatens to block the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices strengthen, gold acts as a safe haven, BTC/ETH under pressure. • Federal Reserve: April CPI at 3.8% exceeds expectations, 2026 rate cut expectations basically zero, 10-year US Treasury yield breaks 4.59%, US dollar strengthens, risk assets under pressure. • Market: BTC repeatedly falls back under strong resistance at 78000; ETH breaks 2100 and dips to 2085, overall bearish dominance with weak rebounds. 2. BTC Key Levels and Strategy • Resistance: 78000 (strong resistance), 78500 (secondary resistance) • Support: 75000 (extreme), 76500 (short-term) • Operation (mainly shorting at highs) ◦ Short near 78000, add shorts at 78500 ◦ Target: 76500; Stop loss: above 79200 3. ETH Key Levels and Strategy • Resistance: 2140, 2165 • Support: 2080 (strong support), 2050 (bottom line) • Operation (mainly shorting at highs) ◦ Short near 2140, add shorts at 2165 ◦ Target: 2080; Stop loss: above 2200 4. Intraday Thoughts and Risk Control • Daytime viewed as oversold recovery, limited rebound space, no chasing longs. • Hourly chart shows clear bearish volume expansion, rebounds are shorting opportunities. • Positioning: light positions in batches, strict stop loss; if volume breaks through 78500/2165, exit promptly and wait. 5. Summary in One Sentence Geopolitical and high interest rate dual pressure, BTC/ETH weakness hard to change, mainly short on rebounds, strictly follow key levels. #在OKX交易美股：周末不停盘 $BTC $ETH $LAB

This morning's "waterfall washout" priced in geopolitical risks + lingering inflation + collapse of rate cut expectations + emerging market sell-off all at once, and panic is still spreading. 1. Middle East Powder Keg: US and Israel to take action against Iran • Evening of May 17: Netanyahu spoke with Trump, discussing restarting military strikes on Iran, planning a joint airstrike. • Trump’s tough talk: Iran "will have nothing left if it doesn’t act"; White House meeting on May 19 finalized military options. • Market interpretation: Risk in the Strait of Hormuz surged, oil prices jumped, inflation expectations rose again, and safe-haven sentiment maxed out. 2. Inflation Data Exploded: Fed Rate Cuts Basically Unlikely • April CPI year-on-year 3.8% (highest since May 2023), core inflation stubborn. • Market pricing: Probability of rate cuts in 2026 only 1%, probability of 25bp hike in December over 30%. • Logic chain: Middle East conflict → energy price rise → inflation rebound → Fed forced to maintain high rates longer, possibly hike. 3. South Korean Stock Market Crashes First: Circuit Breaker Triggered, Panic Spreads • Morning of May 18: KOSPI index plunged over 5%, triggering a 5-minute pause in algorithmic trading. • Direct triggers: US-Israel military action on Iran + surge in US Treasury yields + foreign capital panic selling. • Underlying vulnerabilities: ◦ High foreign capital share, semiconductor weight too large (Samsung + SK Hynix about 30% of index). ◦ Algorithmic trading sell-off amplifies volatility, creating a "drop → liquidation → further drop" loop. • Current status: Decline narrowed, but panic has spread to Japan, South Korea, and other Asian emerging markets. 4. Summary in One Sentence Geopolitical risks push inflation, inflation locks in high rates, high rates crush emerging markets, today is just the beginning, volatility will continue to rise #沃什接掌Fed：权力交接现分歧 $BTC $ETH $LAB

Short-term sentiment usually builds up step by step. In the early stages, you can still buy the dip, but later you have to start thinking about taking profits. After several consecutive days of gains, the risk is always greater than imagined $BTC $ETH $LAB

Sad and hard to say #以色列备战：谈判陷入僵局

1. Risk control comes first, stop losses decisively. Exit decisively when the trigger point is reached; never hold on with false hope. Timely stop losses on small losses are far better than being passively stuck in deep losses. 2. Stop after consecutive losses, take a timely break. Immediately cease operations after five consecutive trading losses. Do not force trades in a chaotic market trend; calmly rest, review, and re-enter when the opportunity arises. 3. Secure profits, protect your gains. Paper profits are just numbers; only realized gains count as actual profit. Withdraw promptly when profit targets are met to safeguard profits and stabilize your principal capital. #超级事件周 $BTC $ETH