分析师 Young

Recently, Hyperliquid's ecosystem has launched a fierce innovation, alt.fun has turned Meme into a "leveraged perpetual motion machine"! The gameplay is wild: issuing tokens on the platform directly binds 2-5x leverage, so when the underlying asset rises, even if no one buys the token, your position can still increase! The leader $ALT surged 110% within a week of launch, with a market cap reaching 8.8 million, now it has fallen back to 6.7 million. But this gameplay is really high risk: volatility causes leverage decay losses, sudden spikes can wipe you out, and without Meme's community consensus, it rises fast but crashes even faster, purely a razor's edge blood-licking game.

What you say is what you get! Yesterday's prediction: If MicroStrategy's Monday increase in holdings exceeds expectations, $BTC is very likely to stop falling. Today, Saylor directly dropped a big move: Strategy will increase holdings by another 24,869 $BTC this week, pushing the total holdings to over 840,000 $BTC. This is the second highest weekly purchase volume in history since 2026 (only behind April's 34,164 $BTC), far exceeding the expected pace. This is an "institutional-level top-tier buying operation" that can directly impact short-term market trends. Sure enough, it immediately stopped the downward momentum. $BTC rebounded strongly from the low and has now surpassed the 77,600 mark. Next, it depends on the volume momentum after the U.S. stock market opens in half an hour to see if this rebound can continue. Tonight's momentum is very critical

Pre-market data has already given a signal: US crypto concept stocks collectively weakened, with $MSTR and other related assets generally declining This means the expectation for the US stock market opening tonight is bearish, and $BTC is unlikely to remain unaffected in the short term 78000 is the current critical resistance line; if it cannot be quickly reclaimed, the correction will most likely continue, and the risk of further decline is increasing

⚠️ Token Unlocks This Week & A Trading Idea • $PYTH: 37% of circulating supply unlocked, nearly $100 million selling pressure, the biggest risk point this week • $ZRO / $KAITO / $SOSO: each has over 4% circulating supply unlocked, selling pressure cannot be ignored A short-selling idea: The market is relatively weak this week + large unlocks = natural short-selling catalyst Lightly shorting these large unlock tokens is a relatively certain opportunity, but risk must be controlled and profits locked in timely.

$BTC Monday Market Analysis 5/18 | The Critical Support Lifeline This morning's drop precisely retested our predicted key support at 76600, hitting a low of 760681 before quickly rebounding above 77000. The rhythm fully aligns with the weekend review projection. For the upcoming market, just focus on this one level: ✅ If the price can effectively hold above 76600, this could be a short-term intraday bottom, with a subsequent rebound and recovery targeting the 78000-78500 resistance zone. ❌ If it falls back and breaks below 76600 again, it indicates the bulls are losing strength, and the downtrend will further open up, so be cautious of subsequent risks. This is a critical window for the bulls and bears battle. There are still many macroeconomic news impacts this week. Use the support level as a signal, avoid premature predictions, and just follow the market trend.

$CHZ Monday Market Review | Taking Profits at the Top and Subsequent Swing Trading Plan Amid the weekend's continued market weakness, $CHZ staged an independent counter-trend rally, just as I analyzed in my post: the thematic expectations remain, but the market strength and volume are unimpressive, lacking momentum for sustained upward moves. I took profits by selling most of my position around 0.0481 yesterday, and today's market confirmed this judgment—as the broader market weakened, $CHZ also experienced a pullback. The thematic expectation for the World Cup in June still holds, and this decline actually presents an opportunity for subsequent swing trades. In the short term, I will remain on the sidelines, waiting for the broader market to stabilize and for $CHZ to retest key support before considering buying back at a low level to play the final swing trade based on World Cup expectations. Friends who took profits at the top can also wait together for follow-up buy-the-dip signals~

⚡️ Monday for $BTC might be driven by Michael Saylor again He posted another update related to the Bitcoin Tracker, captioned "Big Dot Energy" Those familiar with his moves know that every time Strategy releases such news, the next day they disclose the latest Bitcoin accumulation data If accumulation exceeds expectations → sentiment rallies, breaking above the key 79500 level, halting the decline If accumulation falls short of expectations → selling pressure risks surge sharply, continuing to break below 76600

Next week's macro calendar is packed, with several key points that must be closely monitored: 1️⃣ Wednesday (after US Eastern trading hours, corresponding to Wednesday evening in China): Nvidia will release its earnings report. As a "weathervane" for the AI sector, the revenue guidance for its data center business will directly determine the short-term sentiment of the US tech sector. This is one of the core highlights of the week. 2️⃣ Thursday 02:00 (Beijing Time): The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. This is also the last set of minutes under Powell's tenure. The statements regarding inflation and interest rate paths will impact short-term fluctuations in the bond market and the US dollar, making it a central focus for the market. 3️⃣ Other noteworthy points: Tuesday 20:15: US ADP employment change weekly data. The overall market theme still revolves around the two main logics of "interest rates + AI." Nvidia's earnings report and the Fed's meeting minutes will be key in determining short-term volatility

Have you noticed that recently all the voices are bearish on the crypto space? They keep saying the crypto market is doomed and that AI is the only way forward. But is that really the truth? Let's take a look at the portfolio data released by the media about the Trump administration, which contains 3 core signals that could change the industry's direction: 1. The barriers between traditional finance and politics are being completely broken down Trump himself holds at least $51 million in crypto assets, over 20% of senior officials are involved in holding crypto, with total disclosed holdings of at least $193 million. When the highest levels of U.S. power have their interests deeply tied to the crypto market, crypto assets are no longer marginal speculative products but have entered the core allocation list of mainstream power and capital. 2. The crypto industry is shifting from passive regulation to participating in rule-making Several tech and crypto industry figures have joined the Trump administration, pushing the SEC to pause lawsuits, establish Bitcoin strategic reserves, and legislate stablecoins. This means the industry is no longer the passive party being hit but is directly involved in crafting regulatory rules. The era of harsh regulation is ending, and the era of compliant support is arriving. 3. Market confidence is fully boosted, and compliant sector assets are gaining the strongest narrative The collective holdings by the power elite serve as an "official endorsement" to the market. This top-down alignment of interests will directly strengthen market confidence, especially for $BTC and compliant sector assets, which will receive unprecedented narrative support. When power and capital bet together, Bitcoin's ceiling is continuously being raised. There is every reason to believe that in the next cycle, we will see Bitcoin reach at least $200,000

Before: The largest bank in Italy only held crypto products related to $BTC Now: In Q1, they doubled their positions and for the first time added $ETH and $XRP to their holdings list, even making a large purchase of $26 million worth of XRP ETFs Interestingly, on the other hand, they cut their Solana-related positions by 99% and completely liquidated mining-related assets On one side, they are increasing positions in compliant, strong narrative leaders, while on the other, cutting high-volatility speculative assets. The institution's "hedging + betting on the main theme" strategy is worth noting!